Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.144311 0.154718 0.165621 0.177915 0.191419 0.205829 0.222407
2025-08-24 0.122460 0.137597 0.154453 0.174725 0.198586 0.225954 0.259976
2025-08-31 0.107691 0.125297 0.145828 0.171779 0.204049 0.243314 0.295424
2025-09-07 0.098949 0.118426 0.142012 0.173089 0.213588 0.265480 0.338523
2025-09-14 0.089590 0.109579 0.134503 0.168437 0.214355 0.275734 0.366505
2025-09-21 0.081190 0.101058 0.126425 0.161907 0.211452 0.280101 0.386060
2025-09-28 0.075193 0.095087 0.121040 0.158253 0.211757 0.288453 0.411813
2025-10-05 0.072621 0.093377 0.121080 0.161870 0.222409 0.312497 0.464259
2025-10-12 0.069961 0.091303 0.120378 0.164229 0.231238 0.334494 0.516268
2025-10-19 0.066653 0.088083 0.117789 0.163524 0.235201 0.349086 0.557623
2025-10-26 0.063807 0.085314 0.115618 0.163193 0.239578 0.364602 0.602596
2025-11-02 0.060835 0.082181 0.112692 0.161430 0.241396 0.375860 0.641150
2025-11-09 0.057285 0.078095 0.108221 0.157099 0.238882 0.379834 0.667321
2025-11-16 0.054359 0.074796 0.104769 0.154181 0.238554 0.387765 0.703024
2025-11-23 0.051761 0.071849 0.101679 0.151614 0.238569 0.396271 0.741335
2025-11-30 0.050251 0.070452 0.100877 0.152708 0.245036 0.417492 0.810872
2025-12-07 0.047704 0.067346 0.097221 0.148745 0.242013 0.419932 0.838220
2025-12-14 0.044984 0.063857 0.092789 0.143181 0.235587 0.414907 0.847093
2025-12-21 0.042975 0.061391 0.089878 0.140063 0.233480 0.418428 0.877463
2025-12-28 0.042389 0.061126 0.090503 0.143148 0.243402 0.448067 0.979810
2026-01-04 0.041617 0.060525 0.090534 0.145159 0.251389 0.474550 1.080121
2026-01-11 0.040387 0.059135 0.089180 0.144559 0.254095 0.489643 1.152333
2026-01-18 0.039289 0.057911 0.088042 0.144277 0.257407 0.506495 1.233742